ABSTRACTS

01 The Biden Administration’s Strategy on China:Competitive Coexistence and New Balance,by Prof.Wang Fan,Vice President,China Foreign Affairs University.Since its inception,the Biden administration’s China policy has attracted global attention.Based on a comprehensive analysis,we believe the Biden administration will neither follow the old reckless path of its predecessor,nor return to the strategy before the Obama era featuring“engagement and pressure”,but will pursue a new strategy toward China taking competitive coexistence as the direction and new balance as the goal.The decision on competitive coexistence has resulted from the Biden administration’s balancing of domestic political needs with US international influence.Although this policy intends to strengthen cooperation with China in certain areas,it centers on competition with China,which is manifested as ideological contest and containment through alliance in politics,inward-looking trend in economy,and deepening containment and multipoint provocation in military.All of this aims at achieving a new balance with China and ushering in a new norm of the Biden era.In such a pursuit,the Biden administration will do whatever possible to stop China’s development momentum while minimizing the loss of US interests to the greatest possible extent through achieving a balance of power in traditional sense assisted by value infiltration and agenda setting in international laws and regulations.

26 A Study on the Major-Country Interaction in the China-US-Russia Triangular Relationship amid Great Changes,by Han Lu,Associate Research Fellow and Deputy Director at the Department for European-Central Asian Studies,CISS; and Liu Feitao,Senior Research Fellow and Director at the Department for World Economy and Development,CISS.In the context of once-in-a-century great changes,the geopolitical significance of the China-US-Russia triangular relationship is once again highlighted,which has become a key factor affecting the international strategic landscape and the evolution of the international order for the time being and some time to come in the future.Meanwhile,as China’s national strength is continuously rising,a new balance of power is emerging in the dynamic changes among China,the US and Russia,in which their respective strategic role is changing and their triangular interaction has become more complex featuring competition,cooperation,conflict and game.Contradictions between China and the US have become the primary contradiction in the development of the triangular relationship,while USRussia relations feature a combination of competition and cooperation,and strategic cooperation between China and Russia has been elevated in an all-round way presenting a trend of joining hands to curb the US hegemony.In the future,the US will remain a dominant force in the triangular relationship,and with the strategic competition between China and the US becoming long-term,the space for Russia to act as a balancer is further growing.So,it is likely that Russia will play a role as an inclined strategic balancer between China and the United States.

47 Deterrence and Defense:the Arctic Inflection Point of NATO’s“Proximity Clamp”on Russia,by Dr.Xiao Yang,Professor,School of International Relations,BISU; and Guest Researcher of CPDS.The Brussels Summit has further intensified the strategic confrontation between NATO and Russia.To further squeeze Russia’s geo development space,NATO has made military deployments to the west and north of Russia in order to put on a vertical (north-south) and horizontal (eastwest)“proximity clamp”on Russia by promoting geo-alignment between traditional and emerging defense areas.The“vertical clamp”focuses on Eastern and Central Europe including the Baltic and the Black Sea states,while the“horizontal clamp”centers on the end point areas of the Arctic sea routes between the Barents Sea and the Bering Strait.Studying NATO’s“proximity clamp”offensive is conducive to an in-depth interpretation of the changes in NATO’s security strategies and revealing the development trend of the Eurasian security landscape.Although NATO’s vertical and horizontal strategic clamp on Russia has put the latter in a dilemma to face containment in three directions,NATO is incapable of containing Russia on all sides,and moreover it is impossible for NATO to respond effectively to Russia’s counter efforts to militarize the Arctic and halt the implementation of Russia’s strategy to develop the Arctic in an all-round way.In such a case,the Arctic is a drain on NATO’s capacity to contain Russia comprehensively and also the best place for Russia to breach NATO’s geo and strategic clamp on Russia.

66 National Prestige,American Experience,and Major Power Competition,by Ge Hanwen,Associate Professor at College of International Studies,National University of Defense Technology.National“prestige”is a universal and important reality in international relations,which plays an important and long-term role in the evolution of the international system.Prestige,as a“reputation for power (military power in particular)”,is other nations’ perception of a given nation’s ability and willingness to exercise power.Prestige has the characteristics of“collectivity”and“relativity”.Prestige comparisons between countries are an important part of international system.In the international system,the increase or decrease of international prestige among countries has a“zero-sum”effect,which is of great strategic significance to the survival and development of specific countries.Maintaining national prestige,especially through the display or“appropriate”use of force to support and verify“superior prestige”,has always been one of the most important factors affecting the formation of American foreign policy.Despite the trend of adjustment,the top position of the United States in the current international prestige system is still recognized by most countries in the world.In the context that the international power distribution shows a trend of substantial adjustment,the rivalry between China and the US for international prestige now runs through every aspect of their relationship.Compared with the competition for material power among nations,the competition for prestige is extremely complex and has a huge impact,which has always been and will continue to be the endogenous driving force for the evolution of the international system.

84 Securitization and Reshaping by the United States of ChinesePharmaceutical Supply Chain,by Dr.Mu Chunhuan,Assistant Research Fellow,Institute of Public Administration,Shanghai Modern Management Research Center.Since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic,the US has stepped up its securitization efforts of Chinese pharmaceutical supply chain.The US believed China is likely to attack the US by leveraging its pharmaceutical supply chain.Coupled with the low quality of Chinese pharmaceutical goods,over-reliance of the US on Chinese pharmaceutical products is threatening America’s public health security as well as its national and geopolitical security.The interaction and evolution of intensifying geopolitical conflicts between China and the US,the challenge posed by China’s rapidly growing pharmaceutical industry to the global leadership of American pharmaceutical industry,the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic triggering public health crisis in the US have provided the general background of this securitization process.Currently,the US is planning to systematically reshape the pharmaceutical supply chain to get rid of its dependency on China.The decoupling of the US from Chinese pharmaceutical industry will hurt the interests of big US multinational pharmaceutical companies,but benefit its domestic generic and BPC enterprises.From a long-term perspective,such a circumstance will leave Chinese pharmaceutical companies with the risk of further overcapacity,in addition to exerting negative impacts on the endeavor of Chinese pharmaceutical industry to achieve its upgrading goal.

102 On APEC’s Asia-Pacific Community Building and Opportunitiesand Challenges Facing China,by Dr.Yang Zerui,Director of Research Department,CNCPEC.When the Bogor Goals expired in 2020,APEC leaders set the Asia-Pacific Community as a new goal for 2040,namely the Putrajaya Vision.This is the continuation and refinement of APEC’s exploration of cooperation goals.Countries in the region are actively working out roadmaps for the APEC’s Putrajaya Vision and busy studying the contents that should be included in the Asia-Pacific Community building.APEC has made great achievements in realizing the Bogor Goals,but the current regional and global environment determines that the Asia-Pacific Community building is destined to go through a tortuous and complex course.Although the building of the Asia-Pacific Community by APEC member states presents both opportunities and challenges,active participation in such an endeavor is certainly the best choice for China.How to seize the opportunities and rise up to the challenges,promote peace,development and cooperation in the Asia-Pacific,and better serve its reform and opening-up with a positive and sound strategy is an urgent issue for China to ponder as it enters its 30th year as a member of the APEC.

117 The Impact of Political Changes in Myanmar and ConstructiveIntervention by ASEAN,by Dr.Liao Chunyong,Lecturer at College of ASEAN Studies and Director of the Centre for Myanmar Studies,Guangxi University for Nationalities.In February 2021,the Myanmar defense force took over state power by force from the NLD government for the alleged election fraud,once again posing great uncertainties to the political situation in Myanmar and the security landscape in Southeast Asia.On the basis of a brief retrospect of the basic facts of the 2020 election in Myanmar,this article has expounded the new trends of game between the military and the NLD regime in Myanmar,based on which to point out the competition for legitimacy between the two parallel governments is becoming increasingly intense,public protests or civil disobedience have intensified social turmoil,and domestic armed conflicts tend to become“nationwide”.These are the new features of political instability in Myanmar after the military seized power.Myanmar crisis exerts a profound impact on ASEAN’s centrality,its crisis coordination and management capacity and its economic integration.As a result,it is urgently needed that ASEAN constructively intervene in the domestic reconciliation process and get deeply involved in crisis management and control in Myanmar,and elevate regional economic integration through combined measures.