人口老齡化背景下“體育+養老”模式耦合發展研究

摘要：“體育+養老”的研究隨著國內人口老齡化影響，逐漸受到人們的重視，但通過整理國內外有關內容的研究結果發現，多數的研究以地域的面板數據為基礎，對于兩者之間作用機制以及耦合發展交互效應的研究相對較少。本文針對人口老齡化背景下“體育+養老”模式耦合發展的研究中，借鑒了與其相關的研究成果，并運用實證分析的方式探究“體育+養老”模式耦合發展的作用機制以及交互效應，旨在能夠在一定程度上提升“體養”市場效益，為社會福利提供助力，為積極應對人口老齡化做出貢獻。通過實證分析的研究結果發現，目前國內的體育、養老產業的整體融合程度為中低融合狀態，部分經濟發展程度偏優的省份，兩個產業的融合評價值超過0.8，處于高度融合狀態，“體育+養老”產業的發展前景較好，且各省份之間的評價值指數中差距略大。最后，本文根據實證分析結果結合人口老齡化背景，提出人口老齡化背景下“體育+養老”模式耦合發展的建議，以期推動“體育+養老”模式的耦合協調發展。

關鍵詞：人口老齡化；體養；耦合發展；產業融合

Research on the coupling development of \"sports+pension\" mode under the background of population aging

Wang Guaiyan1 * Huang Cong2

（1. Shantou Polytechnic Guangdong Shantou 515071

2. Shaanxi Normal University Shaanxi Xi'an 710062）

Abstract：With the influence of the aging of the domestic population， the research of \"sports + pension\" has gradually attracted attention. However， by sorting out the research results at home and abroad， most of the studies are based on regional panel data， and there are relatively few studies on the interaction mechanism and the interaction effect of the two. This paper for the background of the population aging \"sports + pension\" mode coupling development research， using the related research results， and use the empirical analysis of the \"sports + pension\" mode coupling development mechanism and interaction effect， aims to improve to a certain extent， \"body\" market benefit， provide power for social welfare， contribute to actively respond to the aging population.Through the empirical analysis of the results found that the current domestic sports， pension industry for the overall fusion degree of low fusion state， part of the economic development degree of optimal provinces， the integration of the two industries evaluation value of more than 0.8， in a state of the fusion， sports + pension industry development prospect is good， and the gap between the provinces evaluation index is slightly larger. Finally， according to the empirical analysis results and the background of population aging， this paper puts forward the coupling development of \"sports + pension\" mode under the background of population aging， in order to promote the coupling and coordinated development of \"sports + pension\" mode.

Keyword： Population aging; physical care; coupled development；industry amalgamation

引言

人口老齡化背景下，國內社會勞動人口減少的同時，60歲以上的老年人口數量明顯增加，社會勞動人口方面的問題可以通過提升教育培訓進行平衡產品供給，而老年人口數量則需要社會相關組織提供有效的服務保障，由此可見，人口老齡化問題是關系到國計民生和國家長治久安等重大戰略性的問題[1]。……