‘糧、錢、碳\"視角下種植業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率與功能權(quán)衡/協(xié)同分析

中圖分類號：X322；F326.1 文獻(xiàn)標(biāo)志碼：A 文章編號：2095-6819（2025）05-1414-11 doi：10.13254/j.jare.2024.0554

Production efficiencyand trade-off/synergyanalysis of the multi-functions of theplanting industry with the targets of“yield，profit，and carbon emission\"：a case study of Zhejiang Province

WANGLijuan1，XUMengjie2*，HUYajun3，F(xiàn)ANMiaozhen1

（1.InstituteofRuralDevelopment，ZhejiangAcademyofAgriculturalSciences，Hangzhou31021，China;2.CollgeofPublic Administratio，anjingAgriculturalUniversityNjingO，Cina;3.CollgeofEarthSiencs，JilinUniversityagun 130061，China）

Abstract：Torevealtheproductioncharacteristicsanddynamicsof teplantingindustryinZhejiangProvinceundertheripledndsof \"（higher）Yield，（more）Profit，and（less）Carbonemisson\"，thesupereffciencySBMmodelwasusedtoevaluatetheproduction fficienyoftdusyatproviialdountyalesndtraeofalysisothalzatioofteiustr’slile functionswasconductedsubsequentlyfrombothtempralandspatialperspectives.Eficiencyevaluationresultsindicatedthatthe productioneficiencyofteplantingidustryatteprovcialleveldecreasedfroto1，ndenireasdcotiuoslyle endofthestudyperiod（2022）.Aboutonethirdofcounties（29）wereeficientintheplantingindustryin2O22whiletheinficient counties were mainlydistributedacrosstheJinqu BasinandtheWenhuang Plain.Thetradeof/synergyanalysisshowedthattemporaly trade-offrelationshipsexistedbetweenthe\"Yield-Profit\"functionsasellasetweethe\"Yield-Carbonemision\"functionsofthe plantingidustrilesergisticlaioshistedetweet\"Profiarboissiofucs.eieldofitdbo emssiofunctionsoftheplantingindustrywereposivelyadspatiallycorrelateduetothestarkdiferencsinariculturalsource endowmentsamongcounties.Countieswithaplantingindustrycharacterizedbyhigheryields，moreprofitandlesscarboneisionswere mainlylocatedinorthenZejangwithrelativelyabundantagriculturalresource，hilecountiswithaplantingindustrycharacterzedby loweryields，lessprofitandorecarbonemissonsrealmostdistributedacrossthemoutainousregionofsouthernZhejiangandthe northeastislandswithporagriculturalresources.Therefore，local governments inZhejiangProvinceshouldlaymoreemphasisonthe developmentofgreenadlowcarbonagriculture，andtostabilizegainproductin，soastofurtrimprovethecomprehensiepuction efficiency of the planting industry.

Keywords： production efficiency; trade-off;synergy; planting industry; Zhejiang Province

基于糧食安全的考慮，我國政府農(nóng)業(yè)政策的重要目標(biāo)是“要糧”，政府期望生產(chǎn)者能夠?qū)⒏嗟膬?yōu)質(zhì)資源投入糧食生產(chǎn)，從而確保實現(xiàn)“糧食有效供給\"的目標(biāo)。隨著農(nóng)業(yè)市場化改革和農(nóng)產(chǎn)品商品化水平提高，現(xiàn)階段農(nóng)戶從事農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)的首要目標(biāo)是“要錢\"2，即追求“收入增長”目標(biāo)。我國政府也一向高度重視農(nóng)民增收問題，實現(xiàn)“收人增長”成為農(nóng)戶微觀層面和政府宏觀層面共同追求的農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)目標(biāo)。與此同時，近年應(yīng)對氣候變化已經(jīng)成為可持續(xù)發(fā)展的內(nèi)在要求，也是負(fù)責(zé)任大國應(yīng)盡的國際義務(wù)，為此我國明確提出“二氧化碳排放力爭于2030年前達(dá)到峰值，努力爭取2060年前實現(xiàn)碳中和”。農(nóng)業(yè)是溫室氣體的主要排放源之二[3]，IPCC的研究報告指出在全球尺度上農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)活動的碳排放量約占總排放量的 14%^[4] ，我國農(nóng)業(yè)的碳排放占比約達(dá)到 17%^[5] ，因此，提高農(nóng)業(yè)碳排放效率、實現(xiàn)農(nóng)業(yè)綠色低碳發(fā)展對我國“雙碳”計劃的實施具有重要意義。在此背景下，我國農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)系統(tǒng)面臨著“（多）糧、（多）錢、（減）碳\"的三重需求。

鑒于農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)系統(tǒng)具有“糧、錢、碳”等多重功能，為促進(jìn)資源充分有效利用、加快農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)方式轉(zhuǎn)型升級、提升農(nóng)業(yè)綜合生產(chǎn)能力，有必要開展基于多重功能目標(biāo)的農(nóng)業(yè)綜合生產(chǎn)效率評估。此外，不同產(chǎn)出功能之間也存在復(fù)雜的權(quán)衡和協(xié)同關(guān)系。所謂權(quán)衡是指一項功能的增長會降低另一項功能的供給能力，所謂協(xié)同則是指功能之間的相互促進(jìn)。……