









摘要經濟結構的轉型和市場經濟的深化使得農戶擁有更多的就業和發展機會,同時也給農業生產帶來了諸多機遇和挑戰。為了適應農業現代化的發展需求,越來越多的農戶考慮將農業作為一種職業來選擇和發展。因此,基于江西省區域619份農戶調查數據與職業認知維度,建立Logit-ISM模型分析農戶職業化意愿的影響因素及內在機理,并得出以下結論:①在農戶的職業認知方面,職業認同感評價、規模經營風險感知、成功案例示范作用和相關政策了解程度均顯著正向影響農民的職業化意愿。此外,控制變量對農民職業化意愿也具有顯著影響,家庭人均收入、農業收入占比和村交通呈正相關,村地勢呈負相關。②邏輯層次結構上,農業收入占比和家庭人均收入通過職業認同感評價、成功案例示范作用和相關政策了解程度進一步影響規模經營風險感知,從而影響農民職業化意愿。村地勢和交通是深層根源因素,農戶的規模經營風險認知為表層因素。
關鍵詞職業農民;職業認知;多元有序Logit回歸模型;ISM模型
中圖分類號F323.6"文獻標識碼A
文章編號0517-6611(2024)24-0239-07
doi:10.3969/j.issn.0517-6611.2024.24.050
開放科學(資源服務)標識碼(OSID):
ProfessionalFarmers:theDimensionsofOccupationalCognitionandtheFormationMechanismofWill—BasedontheSurveyDataof619FarmersinJiangxiProvince
WENBao-qiang,HEBei,CHENYi-shen
(GuangzhouUrbanConstructionVocationalCollege,Guangzhou,Guangdong"510925)
AbstractThetransformationofeconomicstructureandthedeepeningofmarketeconomymakefarmershavemoreemploymentanddevelopmentopportunities,alsohavebroughtmanyopportunitiesandchallengestoagriculturalproduction.Inordertomeettheneedsofagriculturalmodernization,moreandmorefarmersconsideragricultureasacareertochooseanddevelop.Therefore,basedonthesurveydataof619ruralhouseholdsinJiangxiProvinceandthedimensionsofoccupationalcognition,theLogit-ISMmodelwasestablishedtoanalyzetheinfluencingfactorsandinternalmechanismoffarmers’occupationalwillingness,theconclusionsareasfollows:Intheaspectoffarmers’occupationalcognition,theevaluationofoccupationalidentity,theperceptionofscalemanagementrisk,thedemonstrationofsuccessfulcasesandtheunderstandingofrelatedpolicieshaveasignificantpositiveimpactonfarmers’professionalizationwillingness.Inaddition,thecontrolvariablesalsohaveasignificantimpactonthewillingnesstoprofessionalize,familyincomepercapita,theproportionofagriculturalincomeandvillagetrafficispositive,villageterrainisnegativecorrelation.Atthelogicallevel,theproportionofagriculturalincomeandpercapitahouseholdincomefurtheraffectedtheperceptionofscalemanagementriskthroughtheevaluationofoccupationalidentity,thedemonstrationofsuccessfulcasesandtheunderstandingofrelevantpolicies,thusaffectingthewillingnessoffarmerstoprofessionalize.Villagetopographyandtrafficarethedeeprootfactors,andfarmers’scalemanagementriskperceptionisthesurfacefactor.
KeywordsOccupationalfarmer;Occupationalcognition;MultivariateordinalLogitregressionmodel;ISMmodel
隨著鄉村振興戰略的不斷推進,我國農村發生了巨大的變革和發展。經濟結構的轉型和市場經濟的深化使得農戶面臨了更多的就業和發展機會,同時也給農業生產帶來了諸多機遇和挑戰。為了適應農業現代化的發展需求,農戶紛紛轉變傳統的農業經營方式,逐漸轉向專業化和經營化的農業生產模式[1]。……