長江經濟帶綠色物流與綠色經濟協調發展研究

[摘 要：文章以2010—2020年長江經濟帶11個省市為研究對象，運用耦合協調度模型、核密度估計和地理探測器模型分析了綠色物流與綠色經濟協調發展的動態演進特征和驅動因素。結果表明：2010—2020年長江經濟帶綠色物流與綠色經濟之間耦合協調度總體呈現穩步增長趨勢，實現了從勉強協調等級向初級協調等級的轉變；研究期內，長江經濟帶下游地區的協調發展水平處于領先地位，且各地區耦合協調度的空間分異特征顯著，整體上呈現“東高西低”“北高南低”的空間分布格局；科技創新、城鎮化水平和政府支持是影響兩系統協調發展空間分異的主要驅動因子，且多數因子在與其他因子疊加后會產生雙因子增強作用。由此，文章提出了推進長江經濟帶綠色物流與綠色經濟協調發展的政策建議。

關鍵詞：綠色物流；綠色經濟；耦合協調；空間格局；地理探測器

中圖分類號：X322；F259.27；F124.5" " " 文獻標識碼：A 文章編號：1007-5097（2023）07-0031-09 ]

Abstract：Taking 11 provinces and cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2010 to 2020 as research objects，this paper analyzes the dynamic evolution characteristics and driving factors of the coordinated development of green logistics and green economy by using the coupling coordination degree model，Kernel density estimation，and geographical detector model. The results indicate that the overall coupling coordination degree between green logistics and green economy in the Yangtze River Economic Belt showing a steady growth trend from 2010 to 2020，and achieving a transition from a barely coordinated level to a primary coordinated level；during the research period，the coordinated development level of the lower reaches of the Yangtze River Economic Belt is in a leading position，and the spatial differentiation of the coupling coordination degree among different regions is significant. Overall，the spatial distribution pattern shows \"high in the east and low in the west\" and \"high in the north and low in the south\"；technological innovation，urbanization level，and government support are the main driving factors affecting the spatial differentiation of coordinated development between the two systems，and most factors will have a dual factor enhancement effect when combined with other factors. Based on this，this paper proposes policy recommendations to promote the coordinated development of green logistics and green economy in the Yangtze River Economic Belt.

Key words：green logistics；green economy；coupling coordination；spatial pattern；geographical detector

一、引言與文獻回顧

近年來，我國現代物流業發展迅猛，對國民經濟起到了巨大的推動作用，但我國經濟與物流業的綠色化發展與發達國家仍然存在一定差距。基于發展現狀，為實現“雙碳”目標，我國在經濟發展過程中必須更加重視生態環境保護，加快綠色物流與綠色經濟發展進程［1］。

現有關于綠色經濟的研究頗豐，有較多文獻對綠色經濟的效率測度和協同發展進行了探討。馬志超等（2022）［2］、汪彬等（2022）［3］、趙敏等（2022）［4］均使用考慮非期望產出的超效率SBM模型來測算綠色經濟效率；……