基于耦合協(xié)調(diào)評(píng)價(jià)模型的宜春市農(nóng)旅產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展研究

王舸泓　韓楠　李麗娜

摘 要：以江西省宜春市為例，通過(guò)建立耦合協(xié)調(diào)評(píng)價(jià)模型對(duì)其農(nóng)旅產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展情況進(jìn)行研究，選取宜春市2009—2018年農(nóng)業(yè)與旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)時(shí)間序列數(shù)據(jù)構(gòu)建農(nóng)旅產(chǎn)業(yè)耦合協(xié)調(diào)評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系，運(yùn)用熵權(quán)法計(jì)算得到其指標(biāo)權(quán)重，再結(jié)合評(píng)價(jià)模型進(jìn)一步分析其農(nóng)旅產(chǎn)業(yè)耦合狀況。結(jié)果表明：2009—2018年宜春市農(nóng)旅產(chǎn)業(yè)耦合度一直處于[0.4，0.6]，2個(gè)產(chǎn)業(yè)之間協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展尚處于起步階段，兩者相互影響作用剛剛凸顯。宜春市農(nóng)業(yè)與旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)耦合協(xié)調(diào)度等級(jí)由2009年嚴(yán)重失調(diào)發(fā)展到2010年中度失調(diào)，2011—2013年逐漸發(fā)展為輕度失調(diào)，2014—2015年處于失調(diào)邊緣，為瀕臨失調(diào)等級(jí)，從2016年開(kāi)始其耦合協(xié)調(diào)度等級(jí)變?yōu)槊銖?qiáng)協(xié)調(diào)，再發(fā)展至2017—2018年的初級(jí)協(xié)調(diào)等級(jí)。總體來(lái)看，宜春市農(nóng)旅產(chǎn)業(yè)耦合協(xié)調(diào)狀態(tài)還有待進(jìn)一步改進(jìn)。

關(guān)鍵詞：農(nóng)業(yè);旅游產(chǎn)業(yè);熵權(quán)法;耦合協(xié)調(diào)評(píng)價(jià)模型;宜春市

中圖分類號(hào) F304.1? 文獻(xiàn)標(biāo)識(shí)碼 A文章編號(hào) 1007-7731（2021）17-0178-05

Research on the Development of Agricultural Tourism Industry in Yichun City Based on Coupling Coordination Evaluation Model

WANG Gehong et al.

（College of Life Science & Resource and Environment， Yichun University， Yichun 336000，China）

Abstract： Taking Yichun City of Jiangxi province as an example， this paper constructs an evaluation index system of agricultural tourism industry coupling coordination， obtains its index weight by using entropy weight method， and establishes a coupling coordination evaluation model to analyze and calculate the time series data of agriculture and tourism industry in Yichun City from 2009 to 2018. The results show that in the past 10 years， the coupling between the agricultural and tourism industries in Yichun City has been within the range of [0.4， 0.6]， the coordinated development between the two industries is still in in the initial stage， and the interaction between the two has just become prominent. The level of coupling coordination between agriculture and tourism industry in Yichun City has developed from a serious imbalance in 2009 to a moderate imbalance in 2010， during 2011—2013， the level gradually developed into a mild imbalance， and then in 2014—2015 the level of coupling coordination was on the verge of imbalance， from 2016， the level of coupling coordination has been changed into reluctant coordinated， and then developed into primary coordination in 2017—2018. In general， the coupling and coordination state between agriculture and tourism industry in Yichun City needs to be further improved.

Key words： Agriculture; Tourism industry; Entropy weight method; Coupling coordination evaluation model;Yichun City