基于耦合協調評價模型的宜春市農旅產業發展研究

王舸泓　韓楠　李麗娜

摘 要：以江西省宜春市為例，通過建立耦合協調評價模型對其農旅產業發展情況進行研究，選取宜春市2009—2018年農業與旅游產業時間序列數據構建農旅產業耦合協調評價指標體系，運用熵權法計算得到其指標權重，再結合評價模型進一步分析其農旅產業耦合狀況。結果表明：2009—2018年宜春市農旅產業耦合度一直處于[0.4，0.6]，2個產業之間協調發展尚處于起步階段，兩者相互影響作用剛剛凸顯。宜春市農業與旅游產業耦合協調度等級由2009年嚴重失調發展到2010年中度失調，2011—2013年逐漸發展為輕度失調，2014—2015年處于失調邊緣，為瀕臨失調等級，從2016年開始其耦合協調度等級變為勉強協調，再發展至2017—2018年的初級協調等級。總體來看，宜春市農旅產業耦合協調狀態還有待進一步改進。

關鍵詞：農業;旅游產業;熵權法;耦合協調評價模型;宜春市

中圖分類號 F304.1? 文獻標識碼 A文章編號 1007-7731（2021）17-0178-05

Research on the Development of Agricultural Tourism Industry in Yichun City Based on Coupling Coordination Evaluation Model

WANG Gehong et al.

（College of Life Science & Resource and Environment， Yichun University， Yichun 336000，China）

Abstract： Taking Yichun City of Jiangxi province as an example， this paper constructs an evaluation index system of agricultural tourism industry coupling coordination， obtains its index weight by using entropy weight method， and establishes a coupling coordination evaluation model to analyze and calculate the time series data of agriculture and tourism industry in Yichun City from 2009 to 2018. The results show that in the past 10 years， the coupling between the agricultural and tourism industries in Yichun City has been within the range of [0.4， 0.6]， the coordinated development between the two industries is still in in the initial stage， and the interaction between the two has just become prominent. The level of coupling coordination between agriculture and tourism industry in Yichun City has developed from a serious imbalance in 2009 to a moderate imbalance in 2010， during 2011—2013， the level gradually developed into a mild imbalance， and then in 2014—2015 the level of coupling coordination was on the verge of imbalance， from 2016， the level of coupling coordination has been changed into reluctant coordinated， and then developed into primary coordination in 2017—2018. In general， the coupling and coordination state between agriculture and tourism industry in Yichun City needs to be further improved.

Key words： Agriculture; Tourism industry; Entropy weight method; Coupling coordination evaluation model;Yichun City