摘要:以數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)分析法DEA交叉評(píng)價(jià)方法,對(duì)河南18個(gè)省轄市2009年農(nóng)業(yè)和糧食生產(chǎn)效率進(jìn)行了測度,通過相關(guān)分析探討了效率的影響因素,得到一些有意義的結(jié)論,如農(nóng)業(yè)大市的效率普遍不佳,復(fù)種指數(shù)、有效灌溉面積比重是影響效率的正面因素,土地規(guī)模、一產(chǎn)比重、農(nóng)民人均純收入則與效率不相關(guān)。基于這些結(jié)論提出了建議。
關(guān)鍵詞:DEA交叉評(píng)價(jià);農(nóng)業(yè)和糧食生產(chǎn);效率;河南省
中圖分類號(hào):F224.31文獻(xiàn)標(biāo)識(shí)碼:A文章編號(hào):0439-8114(2011)16-3443-05
DEA Cross Efficiency Evaluation of Henan’s Agriculture and Grain Production
QIN Qing
(School of Mathematics and Statistics, Henan University of Science and Technology, Luoyang 471003, Henan,China)
Abstract: By using DEA cross efficiency method, the efficiency on agriculture and grain production in Henan's 18 provincial-level cities in 2009 was measured, and the main efficiency affecting factors were further correlation analyzed and discussed. Those big agricultural cities usually had poor efficiency and multiple cropping indexes were a positive affecting factor, as well as effective irrigation area were found. On the other hand, land scare, proportion of primary industry and rural per capita net income were uncorrelated with efficiency. In the end some policy suggestion was proposed.
Key words: DEA cross efficiency evaluation; agriculture and grain production; efficiency; henan province
河南省是我國的農(nóng)業(yè)大省和糧食大省,已連續(xù)多年保持著糧食總產(chǎn)量占全國總產(chǎn)量的1/10、小麥產(chǎn)量占全國總產(chǎn)量1/4的優(yōu)勢,每年輸出原糧及制成品150億kg,為確保國家糧食安全做出了重要貢獻(xiàn)。“十二五”期間,河南作為中原經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)主體,將成為“三化”協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展示范區(qū),在加快工業(yè)化、城鎮(zhèn)化的同時(shí)保障國家糧食安全,率先走出一條不以犧牲農(nóng)業(yè)和糧食為代價(jià)的“三化”協(xié)調(diào)科學(xué)發(fā)展之路。
然而,在資源有限的情況下,工業(yè)化、城鎮(zhèn)化必然擠占部分用于農(nóng)業(yè)的資源,使得農(nóng)村勞動(dòng)力外流、大量耕地被基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)所占用。靠增加人力、擴(kuò)充耕地來擴(kuò)大產(chǎn)出的生產(chǎn)方式已難以為繼,要想實(shí)現(xiàn)農(nóng)業(yè)和糧食的可持續(xù)增長,完成《全國新增1000億斤糧食生產(chǎn)能力規(guī)劃(2009~2020)》中給河南省定下的糧食增產(chǎn)77.5億kg(155億斤)的任務(wù),必須依靠生產(chǎn)效率的提高。因此,有必要對(duì)河南18個(gè)省轄市的農(nóng)業(yè)和糧食生產(chǎn)效率進(jìn)行測度,分析效率的影響因素,為合理安排農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)、推進(jìn)農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化建設(shè)提供決策依據(jù)。……