陳溪 王棟
通過總結“一帶一路”建設的實踐經驗和理論探索,構建中觀層面的整合性理論和政策框架,推動共建“一帶一路”向高質量縱深發展。
2018年8月27日,在推進“一帶一路”建設工作5周年座談會上,習近平總書記明確指出:推動共建“一帶一路”向高質量發展轉變,這是下一階段推進共建‘一帶一路”工作的基本要求。
要實現習近平總書記提出的要求,需要提出整合性的理論和政策框架來協調戰略與戰術目標,推動共建“一帶一路”走深走實。選擇優先突破區域,以產業發展、民生治理為途徑,以區域融合為目的,構建可持續的金融投資策略,發展三方或多方合作機制,形成整合效應。
首先,研究區域比較優勢,聚焦優先突破區域。深入分析“一帶一路”沿線國家的區域比較優勢產業,及支撐規模經濟的本地勞動力市場和供應鏈網絡的發展潛力,選擇重點區域優先突破。
其次,以產業發展為關鍵性途徑、民生治理為支撐性途徑布局。規劃和建立比較優勢產業時,需前瞻考慮向規模經濟和創新經濟升級的路徑,降低未來區域同質化競爭的風險。鼓勵政府、企業和學術機構聯合開展基礎科學研究、應用工程研究和職業教育,發展多層次的本地勞動力市場。鼓勵雙邊或多邊的制造業和服務業企業推進技術、生產和資本整合,構建區域供應鏈。同時,積極建設“一帶一路”沿線國家的傳統民生治理體系,建設更好公共服務體驗的數字民生和數字治理體系。
再次,區域融合是整合性策略的目的。單一城市布局上升到區域融合格局,將有利于促進市場規模的擴大和城市協調發展。此外,多方、多渠道的金融投資模式亦值得重視。
最后,通過推動三方或多方合作機制下的資本和產業聯合體,將有助于提升“一帶一路”倡議有關項目的透明性和可持續性。通過總結“一帶一路”建設的實踐經驗和理論探索,構建中觀層面的整合性理論和政策框架,聚合產業發展、民生治理、區域融合、金融投資等要素,推動共建“一帶一路”向高質量縱深發展。
BRI can be a boon for emerging economies
By Hu Biliang
The Belt and Road Initiative offers a great opportunity to?emerging market economies to enhance their economic?strength.
First, by participating in the Belt and Road Initiative, the?ycan improve their domestic infrastructure, which in tur can?create more jobs, reduce transportation costs, promote trade?growth and build a solid foundation for rapid economic growth.
Second, by engaging in International?production capacity?cooperation, one of the most important goals of the Belt andRoad Initiative, the emerging market economies can accelerate?their own industrialization process. As China is in the later stage?of industrialization and has the world's largest manufacturing industry?with the strongest production capacity, by cooperating with?China under the framework of the initiative, the emerging?market economies can use Chinese capital, technologies?and market to develop their own industries, and adjust their?economic structure, improve their industrial capacity and?enhance their financial risk resistance capacity.
Third, the emerging market economies can betteruse China's huge market to promote domestic economic?development through the Belt and Road Initiative.
And fourth, by participating in the Belt and Road Initiative,?the emerging market economies can strengthen regional?financial cooperation. In fact, the Asian financial crisis has?made many countries realize the significance of building a?regional financial cooperation framework.
Moreover, China has become the biggest investor in many emerging?countries, and it should use this factor to further deepen cooperation?with those countries under the framework of the Belt and?Road Initiative, which will help improve their financial system?while stabilizing?both the regional and global financial markets.
The author is the director of Emerging Markets Institute, Beiing?Normal University. The article is an excerpt from his speech at a recent seminar?on "Fed rate hike and the impact on the emerging markets" at?the Center for BRICS and Global Governance.